EAP Tax Strategy

We collect and categorize all 105 DPO/PFR tax-policy recommendations issued by the World Bank in East Asia and the Pacific between FY2015 and FY2025. We classify them by tax instrument, country, source (DPO vs PFR/PER), and direction, then look for patterns.

Headline: 67% of advice has targeted consumption and corporate taxes. Property tax accounts for just 4%. Direct personal taxation (PIT + capital income) is 23%. Country variation is large — Indonesia receives 17 recommendations over the decade, while several Pacific economies receive one or two.

Composition of the portfolio

WB tax recommendations by category, stacked bar chart
Figure 1 — WB tax recommendations by category, FY2015–FY2025 (105 entries).
Country breakdown by PFR/PER and DPO recommendations
Country breakdown by PFR/PER and DPO recommendations. Indonesia, Vietnam, Philippines, and Mongolia absorb most of the engagement.
Country × tax category recommendation heatmap
Country × tax category heatmap — where the advisory effort has been concentrated.

How EAP compares with other WB regions

EAP sits in the middle of the six WB regions on tax DPF prior actions. Whatever explains the flatness of EAP tax/GDP since 2010, it is unlikely to be the quantity of WB tax advisory engagement.

Current engagement, FY2025

WB tax engagements in EAP, FY2025
11 EAP countries with active engagements as of FY2025; activity count per country across the three pillars.

Findings

Reflection: To what extent do recommendations reflect WB advice capacity, country comfort and political economy, compared to the structural conditions and tax needs of EAP economies?

Source files

All figures
15 PNG files
Every figure produced by Section 1, including auxiliary breakdowns.
Tables
27 CSV files
Counts, cross-tabs, and category breakdowns underlying the figures.
Code
8 R scripts
Load → clean → analyse → tables → figures + engagement map + regional comparator.
Underlying dataset
Master dataset
125 hand-coded recommendations, the canonical record.

Next: Section 2 — Revenue Trajectories →